Three Events Probability Calculator

Measure the likelihood of a set of three different events happening. Also see the likelihood of just two of them occurring as well as just a single one of them occurring.

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What it is

Determining Probability

Create Date: July 22, 2024

Last Modified Date: January 15, 2025

If you have a number of different scenarios percent chance of happening and want to see a deeper dive into how they all can occur, this calculator may be of use to you.

How to Calculate Probability of Multiple Events

When calculating the probability of three different events occurring, you use the following:

  • The percent chance all three events occur.

  • The percent chance that 2 or more of the events will occur.

  • The percent chance that 1 or more of the events will occur.

  • The percent chance that none of the 3 events will occur.
Knowing this information can be useful, so we hope this provides you with the more in-depth look that you were looking for.

Calculating All 3 Events Occurring

Multiply the individual probabilities together after converting them into decimal form. For example, if Event 1 is 50%, Event 2 is 40%, and Event 3 is 15%, the calculation is: (50 / 100) * (40 / 100) * (15 / 100).

Calculating None of the Events Occurring

Use the formula: (1 - Event 1 Probability) * (1 - Event 2 Probability) * (1 - Event 3 Probability).

How to Use the Three Event Probability Tool

This is a very simple and easy-to-use calculator. Follow these steps:

  1. Enter the percent chance of event 1 occurring (0-100).

  2. Enter the percent chance of event 2 occurring (0-100).

  3. Enter the percent chance of event 3 occurring (0-100).

  4. Click calculate to instantly get your results.

Calculation Example

If Event 1 has a 50% chance, Event 2 has a 40% chance, and Event 3 has a 15% chance, you can use the calculator to determine:

  • Percent chance of all three events occurring: 3%.

  • Percent chance of 2 or more events occurring: 27.50%.

  • Percent chance of 1 or more events occurring: 74.50%.

  • Percent chance that none of the events occur: 25.50%.

Probability - Frequently Asked Questions

A 2 percent chance means that out of 100 times a cycle runs, only 2 times will that outcome occur. It is very unlikely.

Yes, an event can have a 100% chance of occurring.

No, the probability of something happening can only be as low as 0%, no less.

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